Revenue design: Our vision for AI pricing and usage based billing
Bas de Goei
Nearly $300 billion in software market value vanished in a matter of days earlier this year.
The catalyst was the release of new AI agent systems, like OpenAI’s Frontier and Anthropic’s Claude Cowork, that made investors confront an uncomfortable question: What happens to SaaS when software is no longer primarily used by humans?
For two decades, SaaS companies were valued on the predictability of subscription revenue. Seats expanded, contracts renewed, and ARR compounded. The market rewarded consistency.
But AI agents don’t behave like employees. They don’t “occupy” seats or scale linearly as a company grows. They execute work continuously, across systems and often autonomously.
When the primary user shifts from humans to agents, value becomes less tied to access. Instead, it’s tied to activity and outcomes, which are more variable.
SaaS isn’t dead, but this “SaaSpocalypse” has shown that the economic assumptions underneath it are being rewritten in real time. Surviving this shift requires SaaS companies to move beyond static, access-based pricing.
Traditional SaaS pricing was built around a stable unit: the human seat. A human logged in to access valuable features that would help them complete their work. Revenue and expansion followed customer growth, and forecasting mapped neatly to contracts.
AI agents break this model. An agent can do the work of many humans in seconds and operate continuously, multiplying usage exponentially.That introduces a new economic reality:
All of this indicates that the SaaSpocalypse is not a one-off shock but a stress test of how resilient your revenue model really is. To navigate what comes next, companies not only need to redesign what they charge so it better reflects value, but also build the discipline to continuously evolve their monetization strategy.
If pricing remains tied only to access, it no longer maps to how customers receive value. The companies that navigate this shift successfully understand that and won’t cling to seat-based models out of habit. They’ll rethink what exactly they’re monetizing.
Some questions that companies should ask themselves include:
Not all pricing models are equally equipped for this new world of AI agents. The table below summarizes the tradeoffs to consider across three main approaches.
Dimension | Seat-based pricing | Usage-based pricing | Outcome-based pricing |
|---|---|---|---|
Revenue predictability | High in human-centric environments where revenue is tied to contracts and seat counts. | Low to moderate, as it depends on real-time consumption patterns and built-in guardrails. | Low to moderate, as it depends on measurable outcomes and performance delivery. |
Agent compatibility | Low: Agents don’t map cleanly to seats or logins. | High: Agents generate measurable consumption events. | High: Agents can work toward defined outcomes. |
Margin sensitivity | High: Flat fees don’t scale. | Low: Margins can be protected as usage fluctuates. | Moderate: Requires the right pricing that scales with costs. |
Strategic flexibility | Low: Pricing can’t adapt to new usage patterns or AI agents. | High: Supports multi-dimensional pricing structures. | Medium to high: Aligns with value but changes require heavy lift and customer buy-in. |
Revenue design is the ability to intentionally craft, model, simulate, and execute pricing strategies so that you have direct control over your revenue.
What’s being exposed right now is slow, disorganized pricing execution that results in pricing being an afterthought rather than a strategic priority.
In most organizations, pricing runs like a broken relay race, where finance, product, engineering, and GTM work in isolation. . When pricing needs to change, coordination becomes a source of friction full of missed handoffs and miscommunication.
Revenue design is the discipline that replaces the relay race with a system. It has a few defining characteristics:
Revenue design requires infrastructure that goes beyond billing software, spreadsheets, or dashboards. It requires a unified system that brings together usage data, pricing logic, billing execution, and revenue intelligence.
That’s what Orb is built for.
At the center of Orb is the Revenue Graph, which connects every usage event to pricing and revenue outcomes. Instead of contracts acting as the sole source of truth, usage becomes a shared foundation across finance, product, engineering, and GTM.
With Orb, teams can:
The companies that thrive in the AI agent era will be those who ensure their pricing aligns with value and have the ability to evolve pricing as quickly as product.
The SaaSpocalypse is a wake-up call, and the lessons it surfaces should be internalized by every SaaS company:
Orb helps finance, product, engineering, and GTM teams automate billing, execute pricing with confidence, and grow revenue strategically, even as the rules of software change. To evolve your pricing to meet how software is now being bought, used, and valued, contact us today.
Bas de Goei
Alvaro Morales
Alvaro MoralesSee how AI companies are removing the friction from invoicing, billing and revenue.